Pick for Friday September 29, 2023:

Chillingworth Stakes

6 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $100,000

Track: Santa Anita Park
Race: 9

Horse: Kirstenbosch (ML 8-1)

Field (in post position order):

1. Clearly Unhinged (ML 4-1)
2. Home Cooking (ML 12-1)
3. Kirstenbosch (ML 8-1)
4. Elm Drive (ML 3-1)
5. Eda (ML 4-5)
6. Violent Runner (ML 30-1)
7. Lady T (ML 12-1)



Bet Kirstenbosch (ML 8-1) to win and place.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE.

Put a lot of money on Kirstenbosch to win and place, particularly to PLACE since she has a very good chance to at least place.

I expect Kirstenbosch to run big and win the Chillingworth Stakes Friday September 29, 2023.

So put a lot of money on Kirstenbosch (ML 8-1) to place since her final odd will probably be right around 5/1 fourth choice [behind Eda (ML 4-5), Elm Drive (ML 3-1), Clearly Unhinged (ML 4-1)], and that makes a good place bet strategy.

Yes, this qualifies as my "Longshot Play of the Week" -- if not for the month, year, or century -- because I rarely pick longshots.

It's not my type of plays to play longshots (but only occasionally).

And this one is one of those rare occasions that I pick a longshot.


Again, play Kirstenbosch (ML 8-1) to WIN/PLACE.

Take the easy money by putting a lot of money on Kirstenbosch to place to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

This is easy money.

Take that easy money 8/1 (or at any price) and leave the racetrack as a winner.


****** Playing For Fun and Making Some Money in The Process ******

The following bonus plays are for fun only and I don't have a lot of confidence in these plays.

Nonetheless, it is worth it.

BONUS: Also play exacta (box): Kirstenbosch (ML 8-1) and Eda (ML 4-5).

Yes, that is right: EXACTA BOX -- because Eda (ML 4-5) is a very good horse and she is not going down in defeat without a fight.

So playing an exacta box is a good strategy.

This should be somewhat of a good exacta payoff as Eda (ML 4-5), the heavy favorite, is also part of the exacta combination, particularly for the bottom combination.

On top of that combination is the fact that Kirstenbosch (ML 8-1) is the fourth choice in the betting.

Both Eda (ML 4-5) and Elm Drive (ML 3-1) exacta combination will get bet heavily, leaving the combination of Kirstenbosch (ML 8-1) and Eda (ML 4-5) with a good payoff.