Paul Tuon 3 months ago
Pick for Sunday November 12, 2023:

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $120,000

Track: Churchill Downs
Race: 7

Horse: Nash (ML 2-1)

Field (in post position order):

1. Nuevo Empire (ML 15-1)
2. Justifreak (ML 10-1)
3. Be You (ML 8-5)
4. Nash (ML 2-1)
5. Nyquist Frequency (ML 10-1)
6. Django (ML 8-1)
7. Nullify (ML 30-1)
8. Crusading (ML 15-1)
9. Resilience (ML 6-1)

Bet Nash (ML 2-1) to win and place.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE.

Don't forget to use the "Double Down WP" betting strategy on Nash.

Nash will win the 7th race [at Churchill Downs] on this Sunday November 12, 2023.

Nash, a well-bred Godolphin homebred, sent away as the favorite in a maiden race on Saturday October 7, 2023 and he finished a distant second to Booth while four lengths clear of the next runners.

He earned an 83 Beyer for that second place finish.

The Medaglia d’Oro colt is out of multiple graded stakes winner Sara Louise.

Booth is a rising star in the making and he is expected to "put on a show" in the second series of "The Stars of Tomorrow" to be taken place on Saturday November 25, 2023 at Churchill Downs.

So Nash getting trounced by Booth in a debut race is not to be ashamed about.

So I expect Nash to be much better in his second time and win this race.

So put a lot of money on Nash to win and place to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Nash's final odd will most likely be right around 5/2 2nd choice behind Be You.

Take this easy money 2/1 (or at any price -- 5/2 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.

****** Playing For Fun and Making Some Money in The Process ******

The following bonus plays are for fun only and I don't have a lot of confidence in these plays.

Nonetheless, it is worth it.

You know betting on favorites (as I do all the time) is very boring.

To get some excitment, occationally, you have to bet some longshots.

Well, not quite longshots but a second choice in a big field and a longshot underneath it, in the exacta bet.

BONUS: Play exacta (box): Nash (ML 2-1) and Django (ML 8-1).

Yes, that is right: EXACTA BOX containing a 2nd choice favorite, a most likely 5/2 odd and a most likely 16-1 longshot.

That should help!

That is it!
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3 months ago