Paul Tuon 3 months ago
Pick for Saturday November 25, 2023:


Comely Stakes

1 1/8 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $200,000

Track: Aqueduct
Race: 9

Horse: Julia Shining (ML 9-2)

Field (in post position order):

1. Ichiban (ML 12-1)
2. Julia Shining (ML 9-2)
3. Honor D Lady (ML 6-1)
4. Just Katherine (ML 9-2)
5. Corningstone (ML 12-1)
6. Warrior's Ransom (ML 12-1)
7. Defining Purpose (ML 3-1)
8. Raging Sea (ML 5-2)




Bet Julia Shining (ML 9-2) to win and place.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE.

Put a lot of money on Julia Shining to win and place, particularly to PLACE since she has a very good chance to at least place.

As a matter of fact, just use the "Double Down WP" betting strategy and you should be going home as a winner.

I expect Julia Shining to run big this time unlike last time (in the Mother Goose Stakes - October 28, 2023) when she couldn't find her groove (or footing) for whatever the reasons when she never got into the race at all.

This is the same angle that I used on Fierceness when he won the Breeders Cup Juvenile Colt race on November 3, 2023 [at 16/1 odd].

However, we won't get a 16-1 price on Julia Shining this time.

I think she will win the Comely Stakes Saturday November 25, 2023 [at a good price].

Yes, this qualifies as my "Longshot Play of the Week" -- if not for the month, year, or century -- because I rarely pick longshots.

It's not my type of plays to play longshots (but only occasionally).

And this one is one of those rare occasions that I pick a longshot.

Julia Shining's final odd will most likely be right around 6-1 or higher.

Take that easy money 9/2 (or at any price -- 6/1 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.



****** Playing For Fun and Making Some Money in The Process ******

The following bonus plays are for fun only and I don't have a lot of confidence in these plays.

Nonetheless, it is worth it.

You know betting on favorites (as I do all the time) is very boring.

To get some excitment, occationally, you have to bet some longshots.


BONUS: Play exacta (partial wheel): Julia Shining (ML 9-2) over Ichiban (ML 12-1) and Honor D Lady (ML 6-1).

Yes, that is right: EXACTA PARTIAL WHEEL putting two horses underneath Julia Shining -- costs $4 for a $2 bet -- however, you can put more money based on your appetite.


That is it!
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3 months ago