Paul Tuon 2 months ago
Pick for Saturday February 17, 2024:


1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING : $100,000 | PURSE: $65,000

Track: Fair Grounds
Race: 3

Horse: Nash (ML 9-5)


Field (in post position order):

1. Ethan Energy (ML 9-2)
2. Count Dracula (ML 20-1)
3. Nash (ML 9-5)
4. Hawks Creek (ML 15-1)
5. Moonlight (ML 5-2) <===== SCRATCHED ????
6. Mind Bolt (ML 15-1)
7. Tuscan Sky (ML 3-1)


Moonlight (ML 5-2) is likely to be scratched from this race and run in the Risen Star Stakes instead.


Bet Nash (ML 9-5) to win.

Yes, that is right: WIN.

Nash will win the 3rd race [at Fair Grounds] in a romp on this Saturday February 17, 2024.

Yes, that is right: ROMP!!!

So put a lot of money on Nash to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.


Nash, a well-bred Godolphin homebred, won his maiden race three races back in his second start by 10 1/2 lengths, geared down.

He earned a 97 Beyer for that workout-like win.

Then his next two races against stakes-caliber companies in the Gun Runner Stakes and the LeComte Stakes he faltered to finish third and second, respectively.

However, this is nothing like what he faced the last two races and I expect Nash to win this 3rd race [at Fair Grounds] in a workout-like manner [ROMP!].

So put a lot of money on Nash to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

This is the easiest 2/5 money you'll ever going to get on the card at Fair Grounds or at any other racetracks on this Saturday February 17, 2024.

Nash's final odd will most likely be right around 1/2 favorite.

Take this easy money 9/5 (or at whatever the price is -- 2/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.



BONUS: Play exacta (straight): Nash (ML 9-5) over Ethan Energy (ML 9-2).


My level of confidence on this exacta (in a scale of 1 to 10), it's a 9.

Yes, that is right: 9 and it's as close to being a 10 as it could be in my opinion.

This is as close to being as easiest EXACTA money you'll ever going to get on the card at Fair Grounds or at any other racetracks on this Saturday February 17, 2024 -- albeit the exacta contains the heavy heavy favorites (in a likely 2/5 shot on the top and a likely 3/1 third choice on the bottom) in a field of 6.

Hey, a win is a win instead of chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.


There you have it!


****** Playing For Fun and Making Some Money in The Process ******

The following bonus play is for fun only and I don't have a lot of confidence in this play.

Nonetheless, it is worth it.

You know betting on favorites (as I do all the time) is very boring.

To get some excitment, occationally, you have to bet some longshots.

Well, not quite longshots but somewhat longshots underneath the trifecta play in a small field.


BONUS: Play trifecta (straight): Nash (ML 9-5) over Ethan Energy (ML 9-2) over Tuscan Sky (ML 3-1).

Again: TRIFECTA STRAIGHT containing a very heavy favorite (Nash) over a 3rd choice Ethan Energy (ML 9-2) over Tuscan Sky (ML 3-1).


That is it!
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2 months ago