Picks for Wednesday May 1, 2024:


DERBY WEEK THIS WEEK!

HAPPY DERBY WEEK EVERYONE!



LET'S KICK OFF THE SECOND DAY OF RACING ON DERBY WEEK WITH A TWO-YEAR-OLD RACE OFF WITH A BANG!


4 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $120,000


Track: Churchill Downs
Race: 2


Surface: Dirt

Horse: Mitwajid (ML 4-1).


Field (in post position order):

1. Sing Sing (ML 8-1)
2. Indigo Wind (ML 8-1)
3. Johnny Come Lately (ML 3-1)
4. B Grayson (ML 15-1)
5. Mitwajid (ML 4-1)
6. Predecessor (ML 5-1)
7. Complex Music (ML 6-1)
8. Charlie Tolu (ML 15-1)
9. Mischief Humor (ML 15-1)
10. Cupid's Thunder (ML 20-1)


Bet Mitwajid (ML 4-1) to win and place.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE to kick off the Derby Week with a two-year-old race off with a Bang!


Put some considerable amount of money on Mitwajid to win and place to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Mitwajid's final odd will most likely be right around 5-2 (or even lower) as a second choice against a very wide open field of two-year-old horses.

Take this easy money 4/1 (or at whatever the price is -- 5/2 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.

There you have it: Easy money!


BONUS PICK:


Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnight Stakes
1 1/2 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up | G STAKES | PURSE: $200,000

Track: Churchill Downs
Race: 8
Surface: Dirt

Horse: Red Run (ML 9-2).

Bet Red Run to win and place.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE using triple down betting strategy to kick off the Derby Week with a 1 1/2 miles marathon race off with a Bang!


Put some considerable amount of money on Red Run to win and place to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Red Run's final odd will most likely be right around 8-1 longshot as most of the money will go to the two favorites Next and Classic Causeway, leaving Red Run as an 8-1 or higher as a longshot.

Yes, this qualifies as my "Longshot Play of the Week" -- if not for the month, year, or century -- because I rarely pick longshots.

It's not my type of plays to play longshots (but only occasionally).

And this one is one of those rare occasions that I pick a longshot.

Take this easy money 9/2 (or at whatever the price is -- 8/1 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.

HAPPY DERBY WEEK EVERYONE!