Paul Tuon 1 month ago
Picks for both Friday May 17 and Saturday May 18, 2024



HAPPY BLACK-EYED SUSAN DAY EVERYONE!



LET'S SPEND OUR PREAKNESS WEEKEND BETTING RACES AND

WHAT BETTER THING TO DO THAN BETTING HORSES ON MULTIPLE RACES -- YES, THAT IS RIGHT: MULTIPLE RACES!


SO THE BEST WAY TO DO THAT IS TO USE A BETTING METHOD CALLED "PARLAY BETTING".


In a parlay betting, we choose three races of our own choosing, and those three races that we choose are called legs: 1st leg, 2nd leg, and 3rd leg.

In the parlay betting, we need to look for the last leg (leg three) first and then we look for the other two legs (1st and 2nd leg) later.

But the other two legs (1st and 2nd leg) must come or go off before the last leg, the 3rd leg.

So knowing that, we must find the third leg and the other two legs accordingly.


AS STATED ABOVE THE FIRST THING WE NEED TO DO IS TO LOOK FOR THE THIRD LEG HORSE FIRST AND THEN LOOK FOR THE OTHER PRECEDING TWO LEGS HORSES NEXT.


LET'S DO THAT NOW!


ON FRIDAY'S CARDS FROM COAST TO COAST WE HAVE A "NOT SO CINCH" HORSE IN GRAZIA (at Santa Anita Park) AND IN SATURDAY PREAKNESS' CARD WE DEFINITELY HAVE A "CINCH" HORSE IN MYSTIK DAN -- YOU'VE HEARD OF HIM -- HE JUST WON THE KENTUCKY DERBY TWO WEEKS AGO -- AND WE'LL USE THOSE TWO HORSES AS OUR 3RD LEG HORSES FOR THE PARLAY DOUBLE.


ESSENTIALLY, IT IS A COAST TO COAST (ON BLACK-EYED SUSAN DAY) ON THE WEST COAST AND ENDING ON THE EAST COAST ON SATURDAY PREAKNESS PARLAY DOUBLE SPANNING TWO DAYS.

ESSENTIALLY, IT IS A COAST TO COAST PARLAY DOUBLE.


If you are not able to attend both days you can play the parlays seperately in either day you are able to attend.


If you are able to attend both days -- great! -- more power to you!!!


The idea is to build up as much money for the last leg as you can since the last leg is a cinch horse and the odd on the last leg is likely to be a very short price horse.

In my opinion, the two last leg horses are cinch horses -- meaning, they are likely to win their respective race, particularly Mystik Dan.

Yes, I do have a lot of confidence in Mystik Dan winning the Preakness Stakes; however, I don't have the same confidence on Grazia as I do with Mystik Dan.

Having said that, I will play Grazia as if she is a "cinch" horse.


Now what's left is to find the other two legs horses and here they are:


Before I do that, I have to admit that this weekend is a special weekend in horse racing and I will treat it as such, and in that, I will break the parlay rule a little bit.

The parlay rule says that you can only have three legs in a given parlay, but I will break that rule and make it as a "five legs" parlay instead since it is a special time in horse racing.

But generally, I usually adhere to the rule.


With that said, let's proceed with the five-leg parlay plays.


FRIDAY PARLAY OR I CALLED IT "LONGSHOT MANIA PARLAY" ON BLACK-EYED SUSAN DAY.



This is the first leg.




LET'S START THE FRIDAY LONGSHOT MANIA PARLAY WITH A BANG!


WELL, NOT THAT REALLY LONGSHOT IN THIS FIRST LEG!


Allaire DuPont Distaff Stakes
1 1/8 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | G STAKES | PURSE: $100,000



Track: Pimlico Race Course

Surface: Dirt

Race: 8

Horse: Julia Shining (ML 5-2)



Field (in post position order):

1. Julia Shining (ML 5-2)
2. Lacie Be Good (ML 10-1)
3. Western Lane (ML 30-1)
4. Musical Mischief (ML 3-1)
5. Queen of Missoula (ML 8-1)
6. Cats Inthe Timber (ML 20-1)
7. Intrepid Dream (ML 8-1)
8. Shotgun Hottie (ML 9-5)


Bet Julia Shining (ML 5-2) to win and place using double down betting strategy.

Julia Shining's final odd will most likely be right around 2/1 as a favorite in the betting.

This is the first leg of the parlay betting -- so hopefully Julia Shining will shine today to start off our first leg with a BANG!

As for how much money to start your parlay betting, it's up to your own comfort level.

Also, anticipate that this first leg (or for any other legs -- for that matter) might not result in a profit and your parlay bankroll account might be empty as well -- so anticipate and budget your parlay bankroll accordingly.



This is the 2nd leg.



THE LONGSHOT MANIA PARLAY CONTINUES



Miss Preakness Stakes
6 Furlongs | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $150,000

Track: Pimlico Race Course

Surface: Dirt

Race: 10

Horse: Value Area (ML 15-1) and Closing Act (ML 15-1)

Yes, that is right: Two horses.



Field (in post position order):

1. Mystic Lake (ML 6-1)
2. Value Area (ML 15-1)
3. Youalmosthadme (ML 2-1)
4. Launch (ML 9-2)
5. Lady Moscato (ML 6-1)
6. Miss Harriett (ML 15-1)
7. Carmelina (ML 12-1)
8. Closing Act (ML 15-1)
9. Cap Classique (ML 12-1)
10. Discreet Ops (ML 12-1)
11. Let Them Watch (ML 20-1)
12. Belle's Blue Bell (ML 30-1)



Bet Value Area (ML 15-1) to win and place and show using triple down betting strategy.

Bet Closing Act (ML 15-1) to win and place and show using triple down betting strategy.

Yes, those are correct: We're playing two horses by betting both horses to WPS using triple down betting strategy.

A best case scenario is that, it is a dead-head for the win between Value Area and Closing Act.

Wouldn't that be awesome?


Yes, this qualifies as my "Longshot Plays of the Week" -- if not for the month, year, or century -- because I rarely pick longshots.

It's not my type of plays to play longshots (but only occasionally).

And these two are two of those rare occasions that I pick longshots.


Value Area's final odd will most likely be right around 9/1 somewhat of a longshot in the betting.

Closing Act's final odd will most likely be right around 20/1 very longshot in the betting [music to my ears].

Please budget your parlay bankroll and bet the two horses accordingly.

In other words, if I were to bet these two horses I would go heavy, particularly on the bottom bets, on Closing Act as appose to Value Area.

Having said that, they both are live-lonshots!!!

That's my opinion.


As stated per "parlay rule", if there is any amount resulted from the first leg you have to bet all of that amount on this leg by dividing by two (for two horses) and bet the two horses accordingly using triple down betting strategy.

This is called parlaying the bets -- you have to use all of the money from the previous leg on this leg.


What happens if not enough money (or no money left) to cover two horses using triple down?

You have to decide if you want to put more money into the parlay scheme or not -- it's your money and it's your decision.

If it's my money and my decision, I would put more money into the parlay scheme; after all, it's just any other ordinary bet(s) -- you don't stop betting just because you lose one or two bets -- you continuing on betting in the next legs regardless of what happened in the first or second leg.

That's what I would do, especially the last leg, which is the bread and butter leg -- the leg that pays the bills.





This is the 3rd leg.





THE LONGSHOT MANIA PARLAY CONTINUES




1 Mile | State Bred | Open | 3, 4 and 5 Year Olds | MAIDEN CLAIMING : $50,000 | PURSE: $30,000


Track: Santa Anita Park

Surface: Dirt

Race: 3

Horse: Dark Marcus (ML 8-5)



Field (in post position order):

1. T One D Flour Free (ML 10-1)
2. Mucho Suerte (ML 6-1)
3. Dark Marcus (ML 8-5)
4. Spot D' Oro (ML 5-2)
5. Sunday Sun (ML 5-2)
6. Toppers Wager (ML 8-1)


Bet Dark Marcus (ML 8-5) to win.

Dark Marcus's final odd will most likely be right around 4/5 as a favorite in the betting.

As stated per "parlay rule", if there is any amount resulted from the previous legs you have to bet all of that amount to win on this leg.

This is called parlaying the bets -- you have to use all of the money from the previous legs on this leg.


What happens if no money left for this leg?

As stated earlier, you don't stop betting just because you lose one or two or three bets -- go on to the next leg.




This is the 4th leg.


THE LONGSHOT MANIA PARLAY CONTINUES


Track: Pimlico Race Course

Surface: Dirt

Race: 12

Horse: Royal Ship (BRZ) (ML 12-1)


Pimlico Special Stakes
1 3/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $250,000



Field (in post position order):

1. Harlocap (ML 12-1)
2. Kingsbarns (ML 7-5)
3. Double Crown (ML 30-1)
4. Pyrenees (ML 8-1)
5. Red Route One (ML 8-5)
6. Time for Trouble (ML 10-1)
7. Be Better (ML 10-1)
8. Royal Ship (BRZ) (ML 12-1)


Bet Royal Ship (BRZ) (ML 12-1) to win and place and show using triple down betting strategy.


Yes, this qualifies as my "Longshot Play of the Week" -- if not for the month, year, or century -- because I rarely pick longshots.

It's not my type of plays to play longshots (but only occasionally).

And this one is one of those rare occasions that I pick a longshot.


Royal Ship (BRZ)'s final odd will most likely be right around 18-1 or higher.

Take that easy money 12/1 (or at whatever the price is) and leave the racetrack as a winner.


Note that if there is any amount resulted from the third leg you have to bet all of that amount on this leg using triple down betting strategy.

This is called parlaying bet -- you have to use all of the money from the previous leg on this leg.

Again, bet Royal Ship (BRZ) (ML 12-1) to win and place and show using all of the accumulated money from the previous legs using triple down betting strategy.


There you have it: Easy money!




This is the 5th leg -- the leg that pays the bills [well, not so much with Grazia].


THE LONGSHOT MANIA PARLAY CONTINUES


In my mind, Grazia will run a huge race and upset the two favorites, including her more high-price fancied stable mate In Theory.



1 Mile | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING : $150,000 | PURSE: $55,000


Track: Santa Anita Park

Surface: Dirt

Race: 12

Horse: Grazia (ML 3-1)


Field (in post position order):

1. Sakura Blossom (ML 5-1)
2. Jane Austen (ML 9-5)
3. In Theory (ML 2-1)
4. Pink Whitney (ML 5-1)
5. Grazia (ML 3-1)



Bet Grazia (ML 3-1) to win and place using triple down betting strategy.

Yes, that is right: TRIPLE DOWN!!!


MAKE SURE TO USE ALL OF THE ACCUMULATED MONEY ON THIS LEG!


Yes, this qualifies as my "Longshot Play of the Week" -- if not for the month, year, or century -- because I rarely pick longshots.

It's not my type of plays to play longshots (but only occasionally).

And this one is one of those rare occasions that I pick a longshot.


Well, I consider Grazia (ML 3-1) as a longshot given the short field of five with the two favorites are likely to get bet heavily, leaving Grazia, the third choice in the betting, as a somewhat of a longshot -- perhaps, 4 or 5 to 1 odd.

In this context, it's a longshot!


Grazia's final odd will most likely be right around 4-1 or higher.

Take that easy money 3/1 (or at whatever the price is) and leave the racetrack as a winner.


There you have it: Easy money!



HOPEFULLY, THOSE LONGSHOTS COME TO FRUITION SO THAT

WE CAN CONTINUE ON TO THE SATURDAY PREAKNESS PARLAY!


SEE YOU ALL SATURDAY!


[END OF LONGSHOT MANIA PARLAY]




THE PREAKNESS STAKES SATURDAY


HAPPY PREAKNESS EVERYONE!


AND ENJOY THE PREAKNESS!



MEANWHILE, LET'S SPEND OUR DAY AT THE PREAKNESS BETTING SOME RACES

AND WHAT A BETTER DAY TO DO THAN BETTING HORSES ON MULTIPLE

RACES -- YES, THAT IS RIGHT: MULPILE RACES!


SO THE BEST WAY TO DO THAT IS TO USE A BETTING METHOD CALLED "PARLAY BETTING".

HOPEFULLY, THOSE LONGSHOTS CAME TO FRUITION ON FRIDAY LONGSHOTS MANIA.



If not, start afresh!!!



PER PARLAY RULE, THE FIRST THING WE NEED TO DO IS TO LOOK FOR THE THIRD LEG HORSE FIRST AND THEN LOOK FOR THE OTHER PRECEDING LEGS HORSES NEXT.


LET'S DO JUST THAT NOW!


IN PREAKNESS' CARD THERE IS A CINCH HORSE NAMED MYSTIK DAN -- AND YOU'VE HEARD OF HIM -- HE JUST WON THE KENTUCKY DERBY TWO WEEKS AGO AND WE'LL USE HIM AS OUR 3RD LEG HORSE.


Now what's left is to find the other two legs horses and here they are:



This is the first leg.



6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | ALLOWANCE | PURSE: $54,000

Track: Pimlico Race Course

Surface: Dirt

Race: 3


Horse: Mirahmadi (ML 7-5)


Field (in post position order):

1. Mirahmadi (ML 7-5)
2. Whenlovetakesover (ML 6-1)
3. Prado Road (ML 8-1)
4. Open the Books (ML 30-1)
5. Magic Express (ML 2-1)
6. Great Heavens (ML 12-1)
7. Nasty Habit (ML 9-2)


Bet Mirahmadi (ML 7-5) to win.

Mirahmadi's final odd will most likely be right around 4-5 as a very heavy favorite.


Hopefully, the parlay Friday [LONGSHOT MANIA PARLAY] yielded good returns, and if that is the case, great!

If not, this Preakness Day is your new parlay play.

In other words, this parlay play is a new and seperate parlay play from the one on Black-Eyed Susan Day (Friday) in case you lost all your parlay bankroll money.


So start afresh!!!


As for how much money to start your new parlay betting, it's up to your own comfort level.


On the other hand, if your parlay play on Black-Eyed Susan Day (Friday) yielded good result, then use all of the money from that parlay to bet on this first leg of the parlay on Preakness Day.

Yes, that is right: Use all accumulated money on this first leg.

That is called parlay betting!



This is the 2nd leg.




Maryland Sprint Stakes
6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $100,000


Track: Pimlico Race Course

Surface: Dirt

Race: 8

Horse: Prevalence (ML 5-2)


Field (in post position order):

1. Coastal Mission (ML 3-1)
2. Prevalence (ML 5-2)
3. Super Chow (ML 4-1)
4. Jaxon Traveler (ML 6-1)
5. Little Roo Roo (ML 30-1)
6. Prince of Jericho (ML 7-2)
7. Bourbon Bash (ML 6-1)


Bet Prevalence (ML 5-2) to win and place using double down betting strategy.

Prevalence's final odd will most likely be right around 2-1 as a favorite in the betting.

Note that if there is any amount resulted from the first leg you have to bet all of that amount on this leg using double down betting strategy.

This is called parlaying bet -- you have to use all of the money from the previous leg on this leg.





This is the 3rd and last leg.




The idea is to build up as much money for the last leg as you can since the last leg is a cinch horse and the odd on the last leg is likely to be a very short price horse.

In my opinion, the last leg horse (Mystik Dan) is a cinch horses -- meaning, he is likely to win the race.

Yes, I do have a lot of confidence in Mystik Dan winning the Preakness Stakes.

So use all of the accumulated money thus far on this leg and bet on Mystik Dan.


Preakness Stakes
1 3/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | G1 STAKES | PURSE: $2,000,000

Track: Pimlico Race Course

Surface: Dirt

Race: 13


Horse: Mystik Dan (ML 5-2)


Field (in post position order):

1. Mugatu (ML 20-1)
2. Uncle Heavy (ML 20-1)
3. Catching Freedom (ML 6-1)
4. Muth (ML 8-5) <=== SCRATCHED
5. Mystik Dan (ML 5-2)
6. Seize the Grey (ML 15-1)
7. Just Steel (ML 15-1)
8. Tuscan Gold (ML 8-1)
9. Imagination (ML 6-1)


Mystik Dan will win the Preakness Stakes in a romp. Yes, that is right: ROMP!!! [Mark my word].


This is the last leg, the bread and butter leg -- the leg that pays the bills.


So bet Mystik Dan (ML 5-2) to win using all of the accumulated money from the previous legs.

This is called parlaying bet -- you have to use all of the money from the previous leg on this leg.

This is the easiest 3/5 money you'll ever going to get on the card at Pimlico Race Course or at any other racetracks on this Saturday May 18, 2024.

Mystik Dan's final odd will most likely be right around 3-5 as a very heavy favorite.

Take this easy money 5/2 (or at whatever the price is -- 3/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.

Hey, a win is a win instead of chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.


There you have it: Easy money!


PAYS THE BILLS -- OH BOY! -- ARE EVER?


HAPPY PREAKNESS EVERYONE!


ENJOY THE PREAKNESS!
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1 month ago