Paul Tuon
Hey, people! -- I am feeling lonely commenting by myself. Join me in posting comments and replies.

Open to all topics!!!


To those of you who are horse racing fans I give out my personal picks regularly when I see opportunities.

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Paul Tuon 3 days ago
Pick for Sunday March 3, 2024:


San Felipe Stakes
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | PURSE: $400,000


Track: Santa Anita Park
Race: 6
Surface: Dirt

Horse: Nysos (ML 1-5).


Field (in post position order):

1. Scatify (ML 6-1)
2. Wine Me Up (ML 8-1)
3. Nysos (ML 1-5)
4. Mc Vay (ML 20-1)
5. Imagination (ML 6-1)


Bet Nysos (ML 1-5) to win.

Yes, that is right: WIN and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Nysos to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Nysos's final odd will most likely be 1/9 favorite.

Hey, a win is a win rather than chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.

This is the easiest money you'll ever going to get on the card at Santa Anita Park or at any other racetracks on this Sunday March 3, 2024.

Heck, I didn't even need to say that.


BONUS: Play exacta (partial wheel): Nysos (ML 1-5) over Wine Me Up (ML 8-1) and Mc Vay (ML 20-1).

Yes, two horses underneath the exacta using Nysos as the top anchor -- total cost: $4 for a $2 bet.

My level of confidence on this exacta (in a scale of 1 to 10), it's a 9.

Yes, that is right: 9 and it's as close to being a 10 as it could possibly be in my opinion with two horses underneath the exacta combination.

Even with the two longest shot horses in the field underneath the exacta combination I still feel very confident.

There you have it!
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3 days ago

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Paul Tuon 3 days ago
Pick for Saturday March 2, 2024:


Coolmore Fountain of Youth Stakes
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | PURSE: $400,000


Track: Gulfstream Park
Race: 14
Surface: Dirt

Horse: Locked (ML 5-2).


Field (in post position order):

1. Speak Easy (ML 9-2)
2. Le Dom Bro (ML 30-1)
3. Victory Avenue (ML 4-1)
4. Real Macho (ML 8-1)
5. Dornoch (ML 2-1)
6. Merit (ML 15-1)
7. Frankie's Empire (ML 20-1)
8. Locked (ML 5-2)
9. Dancing Groom (ML 30-1)


Bet Locked (ML 5-2) to win and place.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE using the double down betting strategy and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Locked to win and place to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Locked's final odd will most likely be 9/5 favorite and Dornoch is the second choice at 5-2 (I think).

This is the easiest money you'll ever going to get on the card at Gulfstream Park or at any other racetracks on this Saturday March 2, 2024.


Take this easy money 5/2 (or at any price -- 9/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.


BONUS: Play exacta (partial wheel): Locked (ML 5-2) over Dornoch (ML 2-1) and Victory Avenue (ML 9-2) and Le Dom Bro (ML 30-1).

Yes, three horses underneath the exacta using Locked as the top anchor -- total cost: $6 for a $2 bet.

I usually don't put this too many horses in either top or bottom combination in the exotic plays -- usually two in either the top or bottom combination is the max.

But I don't trust Dornoch to come in second at all.

He might just be taking the day off in this race.

My level of confidence on this exacta (in a scale of 1 to 10), it's a 9.

Yes, that is right: 9 and it's as close to being a 10 as it could possibly be in my opinion with three horses underneath the exacta combination.

So with three horses underneath the exacta combination I feel very confident.

There you have it!
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3 days ago

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Paul Tuon 3 days ago
Pick for Saturday March 2, 2024:



WOW! -- I never thought that the Gotham is as wide an open race as it is.


I thought that El Grande O is the favorite and Lightlne is either second or third choice but looking at the morning line for both horses -- they're both at 8-1.

Surprise! Surprise! Surprise!


Anyhow, let's go with my gut feeling and make the pick.



Gotham Stakes
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $300,000

Track: Aqueduct
Race: 10

Horse: Lightlne (ML 8-1).


Field (in post position order):

1. Khanate (ML 30-1)
2. Maximus Meridius (ML 20-1)
3. Deterministic (ML 9-2)
4. Facenda (ML 50-1)
5. Deposition (ML 50-1)
6. Air Cav (ML 30-1)
7. El Grande O (ML 8-1)
8. Bergen (ML 9-2)
9. Eliminate (ML 15-1)
10. Just a Touch (ML 5-2)
11. Lightline (ML 8-1)
12. Slider (ML 8-1)
13. Capital Idea (ML 12-1)



Bet Lightlne (ML 8-1) to win and place and show.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE/SHOW using a triple down betting strategy and you should be going home as a winner (I hope).

Put some considerable amount of money on Lightlne to WIN/PLACE/SHOW to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Yes, this qualifies as my "Longshot Play of the Week" -- if not for the month, year, or century -- because I rarely pick longshots.

It's not my type of plays to play longshots (but only occasionally).

And this one is one of those rare occasions that I pick a longshot.

Take this easy money 8/1 (or at any price -- 4/1 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.
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3 days ago

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Paul Tuon 6 days ago
Pick for Friday March 1, 2024:


1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING : $75,000 | PURSE: $91,000


Track: Gulfstream Park
Race: 7
Surface: Dirt

Horse: Speak Easy (ML 3-5).


Field (in post position order):

1. Merit (ML 5-1)
2. Nomos (ML 12-1)
3. Speak Easy (ML 3-5)
4. Secret Lover (ML 30-1)
5. Raguel (ML 12-1)
6. Conquest Warrior (ML 5-2)
7. Tapit Three Times (ML 20-1)


Speak Easy is also entered in the Fountain of Youth Stakes on Saturday March 2, 2024, but I expect him to be scratched from that race and run in this race instead.

Common sense logic tells me that his trainer Todd Fletcher doesn't want to run his Derby prospects against each other in prep races (like the Fountain of Youth Stakes) because he already has Locked in that race.


So Speak Easy will use this race as a prep for either the Wood Memorial or the Blue Grass -- both to be run on April 6, 2024.


So bet Speak Easy (ML 3-5) to win.

Yes, that is right: WIN and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Speak Easy to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Speak Easy's final odd will most likely be 1/5 heavy heavy favorite.

Don't be shocked if he goes off at odd of 1/9.

He is towering over the field.

This is the easiest 1/5 money you'll ever going to get on the card at Gulfstream Park or at any other racetracks on this Friday March 1, 2024.

Speak Easy's final odd will most likely be right around 1/5 favorite.

Hey, a win is a win rather than chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.

Take this easy money 3/5 (or at any price -- 1/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.


BONUS: Play exacta (straight): Speak Easy (ML 3-5) over Conquest Warrior (ML 5-2).


My level of confidence on this exacta (in a scale of 1 to 10), it's a 10.

Yes, that is right: 10 and it couldn't possibly be any locked than this in my opinion.

It's an EASY exacta in my opinion.

There you have it!
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6 days ago

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Paul Tuon 1 week ago
Pick for Saturday February 24, 2024:


1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $89,000


Track: Gulfstream Park
Race: 4
Surface: Dirt

Horse: Batten Down (ML 9-5).


Field (in post position order):

1. Roughshod (ML 7-2)
2. Taparino (ML 20-1)
3. Troublemeister (ML 8-1)
4. Batten Down (ML 9-5)
5. Corporate Power (ML 2-1)
6. Az U Chase Me (ML 30-1)
7. Sturdy (ML 9-2)


Bet Batten Down (ML 9-5) to win.

Yes, that is right: WIN and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Batten Down to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Batten Down will win the 4th race at Gulfstream Park on this Saturday February 24, 2024.

Batten Down's final odd will most likely be 1/1 favorite.

Hey, a win is a win rather than chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.

Take this easy money 9/5 (or at any price -- 4/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.



BONUS: Play exacta (straight): Batten Down (ML 9-5) over Corporate Power (ML 2-1).


My level of confidence on this exacta (in a scale of 1 to 10), it's a 9.

Yes, that is right: 9 and it's as close to being a 10 as it could possibly be in my opinion.

This is as close to being as easiest EXACTA money you'll ever going to get on the card at Gulfstream Park or at any other racetracks on this Saturday February 24, 2024 -- albeit the exacta contains the first two heavy heavy favorites (in a likely 4/5 shot on the top and a likely 8/5 second choice on the bottom) in a field of 7.

Again, a win is a win rather than chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.


There you have it!
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1 week ago

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Paul Tuon 2 weeks ago
ARE YOU KIDDING ME?

ON AN NBA ALL-STAR WEEKEND CAITLIN CLARK STOLE SHOW!

WHO WOULD HAVE THOUGHT?


39 POINTS IN THE FIRST HALF IN BASKETBALL?

ARE YOU KIDDING ME?


Yes, that is right: 39 points scored by Caitlin Clark of Iowa in a basketball game on Thursday February 15, 2024 against Michigan.

Absolutely an amazing performance for her to put up 39 points just in the first half -- while most players would be over the moon just to have scored 39 points just once in a single game in their whole playing career -- let alone in the half of a basketball game.

AMAZING, IDEED!!!

WAY TO GO, CAITLIN CLARK!

JOB WELL DONE!

AMAZING ANY WAY YOU LOOK AT IT!
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2 weeks ago

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Paul Tuon 2 weeks ago
Pick for Sunday February 18, 2024:


1 1/8 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $80,000

Track: Aqueduct
Race: 4

Horse: Monarch (ML 2-1).


Field (in post position order):


1. Hot Candy (ML 6-1)
2. Autumn's Turn (ML 20-1)
3. Monarch (ML 2-1)
4. Wake Up Lauren (ML 8-1)
5. Just Music (ML 9-5)
6. Princess Vino (ML 5-2)


Bet Monarch (ML 2-1) to win and place.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE using double down betting strategy and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Monarch to win and place to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Monarch will win the 4th race at Aqueduct on this Sunday February 18, 2024.

Monarch's final odd will most likely be 2/1 second choice.

Take this easy money 2/1 (or at any price -- 9/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.
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2 weeks ago

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Paul Tuon 2 weeks ago
Pick for Saturday February 17, 2024:


Risen Star Stakes
1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | PURSE: $400,000

Track: Fair Grounds
Race: 14

Horse: Sierra Leone (ML 4-1).


Field (in post position order):

1. Tizzy Indy (ML 50-1)
2. Awesome Ruta (ML 30-1)
3. Honor Marie (ML 6-1)
4. Sierra Leone (ML 4-1)
5. Moonlight (ML 12-1)
6. Real Men Violin (ML 8-1)
7. Hall of Fame (ML 6-1)
8. Catching Freedom (ML 5-1)
9. Cardinale (ML 12-1)
10. Resilience (ML 12-1)
11. Track Phantom (ML 7-2)
12. Bee Dancer (ML 20-1)


Bet Sierra Leone (ML 4-1) to win and place.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE using triple down betting strategy and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Sierra Leone to win and place to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Sierra Leone will win the Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds on this Saturday February 17, 2024.

Sierra Leone's final odd will most likely be 2/1 favorite.

Take this easy money 4/1 (or at any price -- 9/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.

This is like free money!
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2 weeks ago

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Paul Tuon 2 weeks ago
Pick for Saturday February 17, 2024:


1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING : $100,000 | PURSE: $65,000

Track: Fair Grounds
Race: 3

Horse: Nash (ML 9-5)


Field (in post position order):

1. Ethan Energy (ML 9-2)
2. Count Dracula (ML 20-1)
3. Nash (ML 9-5)
4. Hawks Creek (ML 15-1)
5. Moonlight (ML 5-2) <===== SCRATCHED ????
6. Mind Bolt (ML 15-1)
7. Tuscan Sky (ML 3-1)


Moonlight (ML 5-2) is likely to be scratched from this race and run in the Risen Star Stakes instead.


Bet Nash (ML 9-5) to win.

Yes, that is right: WIN.

Nash will win the 3rd race [at Fair Grounds] in a romp on this Saturday February 17, 2024.

Yes, that is right: ROMP!!!

So put a lot of money on Nash to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.


Nash, a well-bred Godolphin homebred, won his maiden race three races back in his second start by 10 1/2 lengths, geared down.

He earned a 97 Beyer for that workout-like win.

Then his next two races against stakes-caliber companies in the Gun Runner Stakes and the LeComte Stakes he faltered to finish third and second, respectively.

However, this is nothing like what he faced the last two races and I expect Nash to win this 3rd race [at Fair Grounds] in a workout-like manner [ROMP!].

So put a lot of money on Nash to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

This is the easiest 2/5 money you'll ever going to get on the card at Fair Grounds or at any other racetracks on this Saturday February 17, 2024.

Nash's final odd will most likely be right around 1/2 favorite.

Take this easy money 9/5 (or at any price -- 2/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.



BONUS: Play exacta (straight): Nash (ML 9-5) over Ethan Energy (ML 9-2).


My level of confidence on this exacta (in a scale of 1 to 10), it's a 9.

Yes, that is right: 9 and it's as close to being a 10 as it could be in my opinion.

This is as close to being as easiest EXACTA money you'll ever going to get on the card at Fair Grounds or at any other racetracks on this Saturday February 17, 2024 -- albeit the exacta contains the heavy heavy favorites (in a likely 2/5 shot on the top and a likely 3/1 third choice on the bottom) in a field of 6.

Hey, a win is a win rather than chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.


There you have it!


****** Playing For Fun and Making Some Money in The Process ******

The following bonus play is for fun only and I don't have a lot of confidence in this play.

Nonetheless, it is worth it.

You know betting on favorites (as I do all the time) is very boring.

To get some excitment, occationally, you have to bet some longshots.

Well, not quite longshots but somewhat longshots underneath the trifecta play in a small field.


BONUS: Play trifecta (straight): Nash (ML 9-5) over Ethan Energy (ML 9-2) over Tuscan Sky (ML 3-1).

Again: TRIFECTA STRAIGHT containing a very heavy favorite (Nash) over a 3rd choice Ethan Energy (ML 9-2) over Tuscan Sky (ML 3-1).


That is it!
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2 weeks ago

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Paul Tuon 2 weeks ago
Pick For Tuesday February 13, 2024

Yes, that is right: TUESDAY.

IT'S A WEEKDAY AND I CAN'T GO TO THE RACETRACK TO BET ON THIS RACE.

It's a bummer!

Anyhow, if you're able to go to the racetrack -- GREATE -- I have a very good pick for you and the horse is going to win the race, albeit as a 6/5 favorite in a big field of 9 maiden 3yo fillies.

Condition: One and one sixteenth miles for 3yo Fillies Maiden.

Track: Fair Grounds.
Race: 9.
Horse: Pretty Anna (ML 2-1).

Bet Pretty Anna (ML 2-1) to win and place using a Triple Down W/P betting strategy.

Yes, that is right: Triple Down W/P and you should be going home as a winner.

Pretty Anna is a half-sister to Gun Runner and is a highly regarded 3yo filly -- and rightfully so!

Pretty Anna will win this 9th race at Fair Grounds on this Tuesday February 13, 2024.

Pretty Anna's final odd will be right around 6/5 favorite.

Take the easy money 2-1 (or at any price -- 6/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as as winner.


UPDATE:

Tuesday February 13, 2024 @ 6:00 p.m.

THE RACE RESULT:

1st: Pretty Ana $4.00 $2.80 $2.20
2nd: Mischievousness $4.00 $2.80
3rd: Montclair Road $3.80

4th: Churning Berni

$1.00 EXACTA Pretty Ana / Mischievousness: $7.40
$0.50 TRIFECTA 2-5-9 $15.35
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2 weeks ago
 
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