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DERBY BETTING STRATEGY


OKAY, DERBY IS A LITTLE OVER A WEEK SO LET'S DISCUSS ABOUT THE BETTING STRATEGY!

You probably already know that on Derby Day there will be lots and lots of good betting races, so to make the best of the abundance of good betting races we have to use some betting strategies to our advantage.

One of the best strategies is called parlay betting and it is outlined in the following:



Here is a very good betting strategy that is suited for certain situations -- such as a situation presented on Derby Day where there are abundance of good betting races.

The strategy is called "parlay betting".

This strategy is suited for certain situations only and it's doesn't apply to every day scenario.

The word parlay is a term used in horse betting strategy that is continuously -- betting race after race continuously.

It involved parlaying a small bankroll into big winnings by turning an initial stake or winnings from a previous bet into a greater amount by gambling -- i.e., betting race after race -- continuously.

It is a cumulative series of bets in which winnings accruing from each transaction are used as a stake for a further bet.

But for this betting strategy, we do not keep betting race after race continuously non-stop.

We bet only on three races continuously and that is all.

The three races are called legs: 1st leg, 2nd leg, and 3rd leg.

The three races are chosen by you -- the the horse player.

You choose which three races to play as your parlay play.

Do not choose more than three races.

The idea of a "parlay" betting is to make as much money as we can in three races.

In order to make as much money as we can we have to bet all of our money from the winnings generated from the preceding leg, 1st leg, 2nd leg.

For example, if you bet $10 to win, place, show on a horse in the 1st leg and generated a return of more or less than the original bet amounts from the 1st leg, you have to put all of that return amount in the 2nd leg, and repeat that process for the 3rd leg as well if there is any amount left after the 2nd leg is run.

In other words, whatever the amount left after the 1st leg is run, use all that amount to bet on the 2nd leg, and again, whatever the amount left after the 2nd leg is run, use all that amount to bet on the 3rd leg.

That is called "parlay betting".



To use parlay betting strategy use the following criteria:


Handicapping:


1. This is where your handicapping skills take over.

You have to be able to handicap races on your own.

This angle won't show you how to come up with the races to bet.

You have to be able to handicap races on your own and which races and which horses to bet.

If you cannot come up with the horses to bet, stop!

Don't play the parlay -- pass up the parlay strategy and sit on the sideline!


2. You must choose three races of your choice.

Choose three races from tracks available to you.

It can be one race from one racetrack and another from another racetrack and another race from another racetrack -- or the three races can be from a single racetrack.

It's your choice to choose which three races from which racetracks available to you to play.

It doesn't matter which three races you choose as long as you like them.

Again, this is where your handicapping skills take over.



3. THIRD LEG:


The horse must be a very heavy favorite -- a sort of a cynch (or locked) that is very likely to win the race.

We only want to put all of our winnings up to this point (3rd leg) on a horse that is likely to win the race; hence, a synch or a locked.

This means that when you're handicapping the races, first look for the 3rd leg horse first and then look for the other two legs that come before the 3rd leg.

The other two legs must go off before the 3rd leg so that you can accumulate the winnings from the first two legs.

Again you must like the two races that go off before the 3rd leg because that is the only way to play the parlay betting strategy.

If you found the 3rd leg horse but you can't seem to find good horses to bet that go off before the 3rd leg, don't play the parlay -- pass up the parlay strategy and sit on the sideline!

Don't force yourself to play the parlay even if you found a good third leg horse but found the preceding legs horses a little shaky.

Again, you have to like all three horses, especially the 3rd leg horse.


4. Bet to win, place, or show only -- no exotic bets.

This means that you can choose to bet on any leg (or all legs) WIN, PLACE, or SHOW only, including the 3rd leg horse.

For example, bet $10 to win, place, show on the 1st leg; bet to place on the 2nd leg; and bet to win on the 3rd leg horse.

Or bet $10 to win, place, show on the 1st leg; bet to place and show on the 2nd leg; and bet to win on the 3rd leg horse.

Or bet $10 to win, place, show on the 1st leg; bet to show on the 2nd leg; and bet to win on the 3rd leg horse.

Again, you have to feel comfortable betting on all three horses and bet them accordingly -- meaning how much amount of money to win, place, or show in any of the leg are based on your comfort level.

In other words, the amount of money to win, place, or show in any of the leg don't have to be equivalent to one another.



Hint On Handicapping


1. Look for the 3rd Leg horse first and then look for the other preceding legs horses.

The 3rd Leg horse must be a very heavy favorite -- a sort of a synch that is very likely to win the race.

2. The first two legs must come or go off before the 3rd leg.

3. Morning Line Odd On 3rd Leg Horse: The morning line odd on the third leg horse must indicate that the horse is the favorite in today's race.

A 6/5 or less in the morning line odd is a good start of your handicapping process.

Again, this is where your handicapping skills take over.



WHAT HAPPENS IF THE FIRST LEG LOSES AND NO MONEY LEFT IN THE PARLAY BANKROLL?

Well, just like any other bettings you don't stop betting just because you lose one bet -- you continue on to the 2nd leg by putting more money on the 2nd leg and hope that the 2nd leg yields better result.


WHAT HAPPENS IF THE 2nd LEG LOSES AND NO MONEY LEFT IN THE PARLAY BANKROLL?

Again, just like any other bettings you don't stop betting just because you lose one or two bets -- you continue on to the 3rd and final leg by putting more money on the 3rd leg because this leg is your bread and butter leg.

As far as how much money to parlay -- it's up to your comfort level.


[End of Parlay Betting Strategy]


OKAY, MAKE SURE THAT YOU USE THE BETTING STRATEGY OUTLINED ABOVE ON DERBY DAY BECAUSE THERE ARE PLENTY OF GOOD RACES.

THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR USING ONLY THREE LEGS BUT YOU CAN MAKE MULTIPLE PARLAYS BY SELECTING A COMBINATION OF THREE RACES USING THE CYNCH "HORSE" AS THE ANCHOR THIRD LEG.

FOR EXAMPLE, FOR EARLY RACES THERE IS A CYNCH HORSE NAMED IDIOMATIC AND YOU CAN USE HER AS THE THIRD LEG FOR ONE PARLAY PLAY.

ANOTHER ONE IS FIERCENESS AS THE THIRD LEG FOR ANOTHER PARLAY PAY.

THERE MAYBE OTHER HORSES ON DERBY THAT YOU CAN USE AS THE THIRD LEG -- I DON'T KNOW WHAT THOSE HORSES ARE AS OF RIGH NOW BECAUSE IT IS TOO FAR IN ADVANCE.

STAY TUNED!

DID YOU ALL ENJOY THE TRIPLE CROWN?

IT WAS AN EXCITING TRIPLE CROWN EVEN THOUGH DIFFERENT HORSES WON DIFFERENT LEGS!


Here is an excerpt by an Australian horse racing writer writing about the final leg of the Triple Crown:


Broadsiding hits mark to give J-Mac 95th Group 1



Jockey James McDonald summed up Godolphin colt Broadsiding best with a quick word to trainer James Cummings in the winner's stall – "he's a ripper".

Broadsiding had just delivered McDonald his 95th career Group 1 and amazingly his 16th of the season with a sustained effort to capture the Group 1 $1 million Champagne Stakes (1600m) at Royal Randwick.

The son of Too Darn Hot ensured the colts finally had their day in the sun this autumn.

After fillies had won the first two legs of the Sydney's two-year-old triple crown, it was a trio of smart colts that crossed the line first in the last juvenile Group 1 of the set.

Broadsiding ($3.30) led the trio home after he overpowered the John O'Shea-trained Linebacker ($4.20) to win by three quarters of a length with a four and a half-length gap back to Peter and Paul Snowdens' Fearless ($14).


"He's got a big future," Cummings said.

"He's taken down a couple of big guns but he's just done such a great job this prep to keep improving and get all the way here to the final Group 1 in Sydney as the first colt to win a Group 1 (this season) is a big performance."

Broadsiding was given a cold ride with McDonald easing his way back in the field as the Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained Anode set the tempo.

McDonald was able to slice his way through the pack in the straight before allowing Broadsiding to go through his gears and gun down the brave Linebacker in muddy conditions.

It saw McDonald move within four Group 1 victories of ‘Miracle' Malcolm Johnston's Australian record for the season with the future Hall Of Famer booting home 13 majors in Australia this season and three in Hong Kong.

"It's not a lot of fun out there but when you win a Group 1, I suppose it's good fun," McDonald said.

"Gee, he's a trier. He had it written all over him last start so I came here with good confidence.

"I thought he would handle the conditions well. He was a nice, fit horse."

Cummings thought McDonald's ride was crucial to the colt's success.

"I just begged James (McDonald) to ride the horse that way and it's really paid off," he said.

"He's performed so strongly. He loved that quick back-up.


"He's excelled once he's got to a mile and that's the class of the European pedigree coming through, and that told in the finish. "

It was Cummings' second victory in the Champagne Stakes, eight years after claiming his maiden Group 1 as a solo trainer with Prized Icon in 2016.

Cummings emulated a similar program to have Broadsiding peaking in the Champagne after backing up the colt following his victory in the Fernhill Handicap last weekend.

Prized Icon was also the last horse to win the Fernhill-Champagne Stakes double.

It was also a second Group 1 for emerging stallion Too Darn Hot, who now boats major successes in both hemispheres.

"He's just got this very interesting future about him, being by Too Darn Hot who is an emerging sire for us," Cummings said.

"He (Too Darn Hot) was a colt raced by Andrew Lloyd Webber for John Gosden and he was an exceptional two-year-old himself.

"He won by seven lengths on debut as a two-year-old over a mile on a softish track, and that gave me a little bit of confidence about today."

Linebacker's jockey Tommy Berry admitted the narrow defeat ‘hurt a lot' and saw the son of Super Seth's record blemished for the first time in his career.

Sires' Produce Stakes winner Manaal was given a perfect run but struggled to produce the same turn of speed she did to win at Group 1 level last start on the heavy surface.

"She tried her best," Manaal's jockey Jamie Kah said.

"She a very tough little horse. Just the track."


Hope you all enjoyed the Triple Crown!

It was an exciting Triple Crown!

See you all next year!

Meanwhile, there is another Triple Crown coming up in less than two weeks!

Is it great to be a horse racing junkie or what?

See you all then!

Pick for Sunday April 21, 2024:


Santa Maria Stakes
1 1/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up | G2 STAKES | PURSE: $200,000


Track: Santa Anita Park
Race: 9

Horse: Turnerloose (ML 8-1). Yes, that is right: Turn-her-loose and she'll win this race.


Field (in post position order):

1. Big Novel (ML 8-1)
2. Princess Bettina (ML 20-1)
3. Desert Dawn (ML 9-5)
4. Blue Dream Machine (ML 10-1)
5. Super Shine (ARG) (ML 4-1)
6. Turnerloose (ML 8-1)
7. Coffee in Bed (ML 5-2)
8. Liberal Lady (ML 10-1)


Bet Turnerloose (ML 8-5) to win and place and show.

Yes, that is right: WIN/PLACE/SHOW using triple down betting strategy and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Turnerloose to win and place and show to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Turnerloose's final odd will most likely be right around 12-1 longshot.


Yes, this qualifies as my "Longshot Play of the Week" -- if not for the month, year, or century -- because I rarely pick longshots.

It's not my type of plays to play longshots (but only occasionally).

And this one is one of those rare occasions that I pick a longshot.


Take this easy money 8/1 (or at whatever the price is -- 12/1 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.


There you have it: Easy Money!


As far as Desert Dawn goes I think she is in a decline and I won't bet on her until I see something in her that tells me she is the same old self.

Her last race on March 9, 2024, she was aweful while finishing 4th behind Sweet Astexta, Madare Manor, and Green Up.

She was 18 lengths behind the winner Sweet Astecta at the finish line on that day.

It was so bad that I don't know to make of her future at this point -- is she in decline or just a one day bad race?

This year I expect better things from her but her last performance was kind of a surprise to me.

I thought she would challenge the female leader (in Idiomatic) for the year-end honor but as of right now she probably relegated to running in overnight stakes at best.

Her best race may have been in last year's (2023) Breeders' Cup Distaff when she should have won the race against top horses.

Now she may be in decline.

We'll see!

Picks for Saturday April 20, 2024:


BEFORE I MAKE SOME PICKS FIRST THING FIRST!


Here is a very good betting strategy that is suited for certain situations -- such as a situation in today's races that I'll talk more about them later on.

The strategy is called "parlay betting".

This strategy is suited for certain situations only and it's doesn't apply to every day scenario.

The word parlay is a term used in horse betting strategy that is continuously -- betting race after race continuously.

It involved parlaying a small bankroll into big winnings by turning an initial stake or winnings from a previous bet into a greater amount by gambling -- i.e., betting race after race -- continuously.

It is a cumulative series of bets in which winnings accruing from each transaction are used as a stake for a further bet.

But for this betting strategy, we do not keep betting race after race continuously non-stop.

We bet only on three races continuously and that is all.

The three races are called legs: 1st leg, 2nd leg, and 3rd leg.

The three races are chosen by you -- the the horse player.

You choose which three races to play as your parlay play.

Do not choose more than three races.

The idea of a "parlay" betting is to make as much money as we can in three races.

In order to make as much money as we can we have to bet all of our money from the winnings generated from the preceding leg, 1st leg, 2nd leg.

For example, if you bet $10 to win, place, show on a horse in the 1st leg and generated a return of more or less than the original bet amounts from the 1st leg, you have to put all of that return amount in the 2nd leg, and repeat that process for the 3rd leg as well if there is any amount left after the 2nd leg is run.

In other words, whatever the amount left after the 1st leg is run, use all that amount to bet on the 2nd leg, and again, whatever the amount left after the 2nd leg is run, use all that amount to bet on the 3rd leg.

That is called "parlay betting".



To use parlay betting strategy use the following criteria:


Handicapping:


1. This is where your handicapping skills take over.

You have to be able to handicap races on your own.

This angle won't show you how to come up with the races to bet.

You have to be able to handicap races on your own and which races and which horses to bet.

If you cannot come up with the horses to bet, stop!

Don't play the parlay -- pass up the parlay strategy and sit on the sideline!


2. You must choose three races of your choice.

Choose three races from tracks available to you.

It can be one race from one racetrack and another from another racetrack and another race from another racetrack -- or the three races can be from a single racetrack.

It's your choice to choose which three races from which racetracks available to you to play.

It doesn't matter which three races you choose as long as you like them.

Again, this is where your handicapping skills take over.



3. THIRD LEG:


The horse must be a very heavy favorite -- a sort of a cynch (or locked) that is very likely to win the race.

We only want to put all of our winnings up to this point (3rd leg) on a horse that is likely to win the race; hence, a synch or a locked.

This means that when you're handicapping the races, first look for the 3rd leg horse first and then look for the other two legs that come before the 3rd leg.

The other two legs must go off before the 3rd leg so that you can accumulate the winnings from the first two legs.

Again you must like the two races that go off before the 3rd leg because that is the only way to play the parlay betting strategy.

If you found the 3rd leg horse but you can't seem to find good horses to bet that go off before the 3rd leg, don't play the parlay -- pass up the parlay strategy and sit on the sideline!

Don't force yourself to play the parlay even if you found a good third leg horse but found the preceding legs horses a little shaky.

Again, you have to like all three horses, especially the 3rd leg horse.


4. Bet to win, place, or show only -- no exotic bets.

This means that you can choose to bet on any leg (or all legs) WIN, PLACE, or SHOW only, including the 3rd leg horse.

For example, bet $10 to win, place, show on the 1st leg; bet to place on the 2nd leg; and bet to win on the 3rd leg horse.

Or bet $10 to win, place, show on the 1st leg; bet to place and show on the 2nd leg; and bet to win on the 3rd leg horse.

Or bet $10 to win, place, show on the 1st leg; bet to show on the 2nd leg; and bet to win on the 3rd leg horse.

Again, you have to feel comfortable betting on all three horses and bet them accordingly -- meaning how much amount of money to win, place, or show in any of the leg are based on your comfort level.

In other words, the amount of money to win, place, or show in any of the leg don't have to be equivalent to one another.



Hint On Handicapping


1. Look for the 3rd Leg horse first and then look for the other preceding legs horses.

The 3rd Leg horse must be a very heavy favorite -- a sort of a synch that is very likely to win the race.

2. The first two legs must come or go off before the 3rd leg.

3. Morning Line Odd On 3rd Leg Horse: The morning line odd on the third leg horse must indicate that the horse is the favorite in today's race.

A 6/5 or less in the morning line odd is a good start of your handicapping process.

Again, this is where your handicapping skills take over.



WHAT HAPPENS IF THE FIRST LEG LOSES AND NO MONEY LEFT IN THE PARLAY BANKROLL?

Well, just like any other bettings you don't stop betting just because you lose one bet -- you continue on to the 2nd leg by putting more money on the 2nd leg and hope that the 2nd leg yields better result.


WHAT HAPPENS IF THE 2nd LEG LOSES AND NO MONEY LEFT IN THE PARLAY BANKROLL?

Again, just like any other bettings you don't stop betting just because you lose one or two bets -- you continue on to the 3rd and final leg by putting more money on the 3rd leg because this leg is your bread and butter leg.

As far as how much money to parlay -- it's up to your comfort level.


[End of Parlay Betting Strategy]


That was the parlay betting description described in great details.

Now let's put that parlay betting strategy to work to our advantage.


AS STATED ABOVE THE FIRST THING WE NEED TO DO IS TO LOOK FOR THE THIRD LEG HORSE FIRST AND THEN LOOK FOR THE OTHER PRECEDING LEGS HORSES NEXT.


LET'S DO JUST THAT NOW!


IN TODAY'S RACES THERE IS A CYNCH HORSE NAMED JUDGE MILLER IN RACE 7 AT SANTA ANITA PARK AND WE'LL USE THAT HORSE AS OUR 3RD LEG HORSE.


Now what's left is to find the other two legs horses and here they are:


This is the first leg.


1 1/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $80,000

Track: Aqueduct
Race: 5


Surface: Turf

Horse: Chantilly Road (ML 5-1).


Field (in post position order):

1. Grayosh (ML 1-1)
2. Colorful Lady (ML 8-1)
3. Just One More (ML 6-1)
4. Big Beautiful (IRE) (ML 8-1)
5. Chantilly Road (ML 5-1)
6. Wake Up Lauren (ML 15-1)
7. Classic Cara (ML 50-1)
8. Wish List (ML 8-1)
9. Blue Thunder (IRE) (ML 20-1)
10. Just Music (ML 6-5)

Bet Chantilly Road (ML 5-1) to win and place and show using triple down betting strategy.

Chantilly Road's final odd will most likely be right around 12-1 longshot.


This is the 2nd leg.


Ben Ali Stakes
1 3/16 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $300,000

Track: Keeneland
Race: 9


Surface: Dirt

Horse: Smile Happy (ML 3-1).


Field (in post position order):


1. Time for Trouble (ML 6-1)
2. Surly Furious (ML 10-1)
3. Smile Happy (ML 3-1)
4. Kingsbarns (ML 2-1)
5. Laughing Boy (ML 15-1)
6. Archie the Giza (ML 30-1)
7. Dynamic One (ML 8-1)
8. Happy American (ML 15-1)
9. War Campaign (ML 4-1)


Bet Smile Happy (ML 3-1) to win and place using double down betting strategy.

Smile Happy's final odd will most likely be right around 9-2 3rd or 4th choice in the betting.

Note that if there is any amount resulted from the first leg you have to bet all of that amount on this leg using double down betting strategy.

This is called parlaying bet -- you have to use all of the money from the previous leg on this leg.



This is the 3rd and leg.


Californian Stakes
1 1/8 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $100,000

Track: Santa Anita Park
Race: 7


Surface: Dirt

Horse: Judge Miller (ML 4-4).


Field (in post position order):

1. None Above the Law (ML 12-1)
2. Judge Miller (ML 4-5)
3. Mixto (ML 5-2)
4. Mystification (ML 12-1)
5.Mr Fisk (ML 5-2)


Bet Judge Miller (ML 4-5) to win using all of the accumulated money from the previous legs.

This is called parlaying bet -- you have to use all of the money from the previous leg on this leg.

Judge Miller's final odd will most likely be right around 1-5 as a very heavy favorite.

This is the easiest 4/5 money you'll ever going to get on the card at Santa Anita Park or at any other racetracks on this Saturday April 20, 2024.

Take this easy money 4/5 (or at whatever the price is -- 1/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.

Hey, a win is a win instead of chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.


There you have it: Easy money!

CORRECTION:

the Champagne Stakes is likely to go off at 10:00 p.m. to 11:00 p.m. Friday night April 19, 2024 as it is in race 4.

ENJOY THE FINAL LEG OF THE TRIPLE CROWN EVERYONE!

Pick for Friday April 19, 2024 (it's Saturday April 20 in Australia):



HAPPY FINAL LEG OF THE TRIPLE CROWN EVERYONE!


Champagne Stakes (G1)
Conditions: 2YO Set Weights | 1600m (One Mile) | PURSE: $1,000,000


Track: Randwick Racecourse
Race: 4

Horse: MANAAL [7] (ML 7-5).


Field (in post position order):

1. IN HER EYES [8] (ML 60-1)
2. FEARLESS [4] (ML 13-1)
3. ANODE [1] (ML 6-1)
4. MANAAL [7] (ML 7-5)
5. LINEBACKER [2] (ML 7-1)
6. TENBURY WELLS [6] (ML 125-1)
7. BROADSIDING [3] (ML 6-1)
8. EL CASTELLO [5] (ML 34-1)



Make note that the field above is listed here in post position order with the morning line odd and the horse's saddlecloth # enclosed in the square brackets [] next to the horse's name.

In Australia and Europe the field is listed in the order of the horse's saddlecloth # as appose to in post position order as we do here in the US.

As you play their races make sure to adhere to their system of racing format so that you don't get confused and watching and cheering for the wrong horse.

Worse yet, betting on the wrong horse by using the above post position order as your horse's saddlecloth # -- BAD! BAD! BAD!


The 2024 Champagne Stakes field is made up of 6 colts, no geldings and two fillies (Manaal, In Her Eyes).

Of the two fillies Manaal is, of course, the better one at 7-5.


It is a small but elite field for the 2024 Champagne Stakes.


Eight runners have been declared for the Champagne Stakes where ATC Sires' Produce Stakes winner Manaal will chase her second leg of the Sydney 2YO Triple Crown while also attempting to continue the fillies' clean sweep of Australia's Group 1 two-year-old races this season.

Manaal will clash with last Saturday's Fernhill Handicap winner Broadsiding and runner-up El Castello as well as Baillieu Quality winner Linebacker and runner-up Anode.


Looking at the race and put my handicapping knowledge to use, it looks to be a competitive race as Manaal is the only filly capable of winning against this good group two-year-old males.

Although I like Manaal a lot but I think a few could upset her -- and one of them is Linebacker and another is Broadsiding.

The other one that is very interesting is a longshot named El Castello at 33-1.

Those are the few you can take a look at and wager for fun.



For those of us in the US, Saturday in Australia is Friday for us.

Actually, it's Friday night for us in the US with their first race starts at 9:00 P.M (US Central Time) but it's noon time Saturday in Australia.

The Champagne Stakes is scheduled to go off at around 1:00 or 1:30 A.M (US Central Time).

So if you don't have to work early Saturday you can go to your local racetrack and enjoy the final leg of the Triple Crown race in the night owl.

Manaal is likely to go off at odd of 9/5 and yes, her odd will drift upward due a tougher field she'll face this time with the males are ready to give her all she can handle.


That's my assessment on Manaal's chances.


There you have it!


ENJOY THE FINAL LEG OF THE TRIPLE CROWN EVERYONE!

FINAL LEG OF THE TRIPLE CROWN THIS WEEK

Friday April 19, 2024 (it's Saturday April 20 in Australia)

The Champagne Stakes at Randwick Racecourse


HAPPY FINAL LEG OF THE TRIPLE CROWN EVERYONE!

Pick for Friday April 19, 2024:


Baird Doubledogdare Stakes
1 1/16 Miles | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up | G3 STAKES | PURSE: $300,000


Track: Keeneland
Race: 9

Horse: Scylla (ML 8-5).


Field (in post position order):

1. Raging Sea (ML 5-2)
2. Queen of Missoula (ML 20-1)
3. Scylla (ML 8-5)
4. Loved (ML 3-1)
5. Saddle Up Jessie (ML 6-1)
6. Hidden Connection (ML 10-1)
7. Curl Girl (ML 15-1)



Bet Scylla (ML 8-5) to win.

Yes, that is right: WIN and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Scylla to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Scylla's final odd will most likely be right around 4-5 favorite.

This is the easiest 4/5 money you'll ever going to get on the card at Keeneland or at any other racetracks on this Friday April 19, 2024.

Take this easy money 8/5 (or at whatever the price is -- 4/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.

Hey, a win is a win instead of chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.


There you have it: Easy money!

Pick for Wednesday April 17, 2024:


TWO-YEAR-OLD RACES ARE PICKING UP STEAM AND

THE FIRST ONE GOT OFF TO A BANG(!) ON APRIL 5 WHEN

A FILLY NAMED SHOOT IT TRUE GAVE THE "BOYS" A SLIP!

NOW IT'S THE BOYS' TURN TO CONTINUE THE "BANG!"


4 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $80,000


Track: Keeneland
Race: 4

Horse: Bostontonian (ML 2-1).


Field (in post position order):

1. Sackett (ML 20-1)
2. Jet Sweep Joe (ML 7-2)
3. Baytown Boo Boo (ML 8-1)
4. Bostontonian (ML 2-1)
5. Mister Woodford (ML 15-1)
6. Fortheloveofrun (ML 20-1)
7. Charlie Tolu (ML 30-1)
8. Deeply Hidden (ML 12-1)
9. Strummin (ML 9-2)
10. Listening (ML 20-1)
11. Probale Ten (ML 20-1)
12. Into Inspiration (ML 30-1)


On Friday April 5, 2024, I made a pick in the first two-year-old race of the year in a 4 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $80,000, at Keeneland, race 2, in a big field of 11 2yos, including one filly named Shoot It True.


However, I picked Bostontonian (ML 9-5) to win and place over the only filly in the race because Shoot It True (ML 4-1) was the second choice to Bostontonian (ML 9-5) and you know me -- I like betting on favorites, especially in 2yos races early in the year.

And this is the perfect time to play 2yo races and making money in the process.

In that April 5 race, Wesley Ward scratched Bostontonian from that race in favor of the second choice stable mate Shoot It True (ML 4-1).

Bostontonian is a 2-year-old gelding. He was sired by Bernardini out of the Forest Wildcat mare Falconess.

Shoot It True is a 2-year-old filly. She was sired by Munnings out of the Malibu Moon mare To The Moon Alice.

Both Bostontonian and Shoot It True are trained by Wesley Ward, so Wesley Ward knew all along that he wasn't going to run his two horses (Bostontonian and Shoot It True) against each other and just a matter of which one he wanted to scratch at scratch time that Friday morning of the race April 5, 2024.

Wesley Ward ended up scratching Bostontonian instead, leaving the filly Shoot It True to carry his banner for the first two-year-old race of the year.


CARRY A BANNER -- OH BOY! -- DID SHE EVER?

YES, THAT IS RIGHT: A "SHE" -- A FILLY TROUNCED A GOOD GROUP OF TWO-YEAR-OLD COLTS -- A FAMILIAR THEME AS OF LATE.


Shoot It True obliterated a 4 1/2-furlong maiden special weight on Friday at Keeneland, opening up a four-length lead through an opening quarter-mile in 21.89 seconds before widening her advantage to win by 7 1/2 lengths in 52.04 seconds.

It's no telling how good Shoot It True is and if I have to guess right now, she is good enough to be sent overseas (in England) to compete in Royal Ascot's prestigious races beginning in June 2024.

That's how good she looks right now!

She belongs there!

Could Royal Ascot be in her future?

We'll have to wait and see once Royal Ascot gets underway.

Anywhere she goes she'll be a force to be reckoned with in the two-year-old season, whether overseas or here in the United States.

Stay tuned!



NOW IT'S BOSTONTONIAN'S TURN TO CONTINUE THE "BANG!"


So bet Bostontonian to win and place using double down betting strategy and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Bostontonian to win and place to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Bostontonian's final odd will most likely be right around 6/5 favorite.

Take this easy money 2/1 (or at whatever the price is -- 4/5 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.


There you have it!


Here is an exerpt by the DRF writer Marcus Hersh on April 15, 2024:


Ultima Grace's speed has even surprised Ward


If you can't beat Wesley Ward – and that is almost literally true in April 2-year-old races at Keeneland – you might as well join the party.

Ward, dating to the April 2023 meet at Keeneland, has gone 7 for 15 in baby races, a record made even stronger by the fact he's had multiple runners in some of the races.

Already this April he has won three of the four 2-year-old races.

A gelding named Bostontonian was likely to make it four out of five on Wednesday, and unless Ultima Grace blows the start from post 1 in Thursday's second race, another 4 1/2-furlong tilt for 2-year-olds, she'll win, too.

Hardly a secret, that. Ultima Grace, by American Pharoah out of Ultima D – fifth in her Keeneland debut for Ward in 2017 – is listed at 6-5 on the morning line, John Velazquez named to ride.

Velazquez, Ward said, was clamoring for this mount after he worked Ultima Grace out of the gate last month at Payson Park.

"They sent her to me in July, and in August we started training her. She's a big, gangly type horse – looks like a harness horse. I take her to the gate, nice and easy, popped her out of there with a couple of my fast ones, and whoosh, she was gone!" Ward said.

"She's not one of those little rocket ships. I was like, 'What the hell?' I worked her back and she did it again. Johnny V came up and worked her, and he said, "Don't let anybody else ride her! She's mine."


MUSIC TO MY EARS!
MUSIC TO MY EARS!
MUSIC TO MY EARS!


BONUS PICK: Thursday April 18, 2024.


4 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $80,000


Track: Keeneland
Race: 2

Horse: Ultima Grace (ML 6-5).


Bet Ultima Grace (ML 6-5) to win.

Yes, that is right: WIN and you should be going home as a winner.

Put some considerable amount of money on Ultima Grace to win to make it worthwhile and justified going to the racetrack.

Ultima Grace's final odd will most likely be right around 1-2 as a very heavy favorite [music to my ears].

This is the easiest 1/2 money you'll ever going to get on the card at Keeneland or at any other racetracks on this Thursday April 18, 2024.

Take this easy money 6/5 (or at whatever the price is -- 1/2 is my guess) and leave the racetrack as a winner.

Hey, a win is a win instead of chasing some longshots in hope of a big payoff as most horseplayers often do to no avail.

There you have it: Easy money!

Golden Slipper Winner Lady Of Camelot Upset At Royal Randwick Saturday April 13, 2024


This race was suppose to be Lady Of Camelot's race to lose as she competes in a race restricted to her own sex: fillies only -- and yet, she was upset by a filly that she beat twice already this season.


Here is an excerpt by Australian horse racing writer:


Tough Filly Topples Golden Slipper Star In Percy Sykes

Peter Moody hailed Eneeza as the toughest two-year-old he's ever trained after the filly lowered the colours of Golden Slipper winner Lady Of Camelot at Royal Randwick on Saturday.

Lady Of Camelot beat Eneeza home in both the Blue Diamond and Golden Slipper but a perfect Damian Lane ride helped the Melbourne filly turn the tables.

Eneeza burst through on the inside with a brilliant turn of speed to win the Group 2 $1 million Percy Sykes Stakes (1200m).

"She has been terrific," Moody, who trains with Katherine Coleman, said.

"She is not a big filly and has been unbelievably resilient.

"The constitution and the way she handles her racing, I don't think I have trained a tougher two-year-old."

Lane was able to find a perfect spot on the fence in the run while Lady Of Camelot, significant drifter from $2.50 to $3.80, was three-wide with cover.

As the field shifted off the fence rounding the turn, Lane took the run on the inside and Eneeza ($4.20) did the rest.

She rocketed home to beat the Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained Lady Of Camelot by three quarters of a length with the same margin back to Ciaron Maher's Erno's Cube ($21).

"She's just a little rocket," Lane said.

"She must have a good constitution because she's held her form so good throughout this prep and she's so versatile.

"I had to concede too much ground from the poor barrier in the Slipper and today, just to be able to use her early and switch her off was the key."

Eneeza has been consistent throughout a long two-year-old season and was fourth in the Group 1 Blue Diamond Stakes back in February.

She then came to Sydney and raced without luck in the Slipper, finishing seventh.

"She didn't have a lot of luck in the Slipper from a bad draw and that was a nice consolation," Moody said.

"She's probably been luckless this entire prep. She's a gallant little filly and congratulations to Kia Ora and TF Investments for their patience, basically, after those unlucky runs.

"We probably brought ourselves undone in the Blue Diamond riding her a bit close but a lovely ride by Damian today and reward for effort.

"If we couldn't win the big ones we'll take home a Group 2."

It's been a big few weeks for Moody and Coleman, who won last week's TJ Smith Stakes with Chain Of Lightning.